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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 61.35 | $0.700 | $51.54 | +$8.59 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | sell | 694 | $0.920 | $638.48 | 8d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.980 |
| $98.03 |
| 10d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.986 | $207.06 | 10d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 210 | $0.026 | $5.46 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.920 | $999.12 | 20d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 445 | $0.991 | $441 | 25d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.960 | $4.8K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 210 | $0.150 | $31.5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.930 | $930 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?No | buy | 500 | $0.830 | $415 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?No | buy | 40 | $0.790 | $31.6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Squid FDV above $300M one day after launchNo | buy | 1.53K | $0.980 | $1.5K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 459 | $0.934 | $428.87 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 68.98 | $0.850 | $58.63 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 504.35 | $0.139 | $70.03 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 522.45 | $0.820 | $428.41 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 64.77 | $0.182 | $11.79 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 50.09 | $0.818 | $40.97 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 238.87 | $0.940 | $224.54 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 765.27 | $0.903 | $691.26 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.989 | $989 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina | buy | 1.02K | $0.982 | $1K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina | buy | 1.07K | $0.932 | $997.78 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina | buy | 2K | $0.979 | $1.96K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina | buy | 2.12K | $0.940 | $1.99K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spread: England (-2.5)France | buy | 150 | $0.290 | $43.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Spread: France (-3.5)England | buy | 9.99 | $0.944 | $9.43 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Spread: England (-2.5)France | buy | 5.1K | $0.976 | $4.98K | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 868.32 | $0.986 | $856.01 | Jul 18, 2026 |