Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 148.75 | $0.085 | $12.64 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 36.84 |
| $0.136 |
| $5 |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Beige Book" during speech on October 14?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during speech on October 14?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.110 | $0.61 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during speech on October 14?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during speech on October 14?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.125 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.380 | $1.5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.380 | $1.5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024?Yes | buy | 35.97 | $0.139 | $5 | Nov 15, 2024 |