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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 12.5K | $0.020 | $250 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 300K |
| $0.001 |
| $300 |
| Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.002 | $200 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown | buy | 73.28 | $0.294 | $21.53 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown | buy | 3.33K | $0.009 | $30 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | buy | 47.79 | $0.610 | $29.15 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp | buy | 37.08 | $0.523 | $19.38 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp | buy | 26.54 | $0.740 | $19.63 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | buy | 40.82 | $0.720 | $29.39 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | buy | 33.89 | $0.429 | $14.55 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 13.79 | $0.710 | $9.79 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp | buy | 7.96 | $0.610 | $4.86 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp | buy | 135.2 | $0.360 | $48.67 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown | buy | 231.43 | $0.419 | $97.04 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 56.78 | $0.599 | $33.99 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 37.65 | $0.729 | $27.45 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 21.31 | $0.509 | $10.85 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.058 | $60.98 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 20.5K | $0.038 | $779.95 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.100 | $19 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 17?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.024 | $24.65 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 17?No | buy | 405 | $0.061 | $24.7 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.070 | $98 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.007 | $175 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 5K | $0.043 | $215 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.032 | $640 | Feb 15, 2026 |