Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 10d ago |
|
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.940 |
| $4.7 |
| 11d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 12d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 13d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 27?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 15d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 24?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 18d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 21d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 11?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 9?Yes | buy | 5.48 | $0.721 | $3.95 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 9?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.390 | $4 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.580 | $4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?No | sell | 60 | $0.170 | $10.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 47.5 | $0.002 | $0.1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 85.26 | $0.022 | $1.88 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 38.45 | $0.070 | $2.69 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 36.92 | $0.020 | $0.74 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 41.56 | $0.035 | $1.45 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 53.57 | $0.019 | $1.02 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 124.61 | $0.005 | $0.62 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 11.27 | $0.887 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 13.07 | $0.765 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 36.45 | $0.003 | $0.11 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 37.58 | $0.005 | $0.19 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 17.44 | $0.860 | $15 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 124.62 | $0.013 | $1.62 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 85.26 | $0.038 | $3.24 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.270 | $13.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53.57 | $0.028 | $1.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 41.56 | $0.064 | $2.66 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 47.5 | $0.032 | $1.52 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.480 | $17.28 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 36.92 | $0.078 | $2.88 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 36.46 | $0.079 | $2.88 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.197 | $7.56 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 37.59 | $0.029 | $1.08 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 9?No | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 9?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.910 | $4.89 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 9?No | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 9?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.920 | $4.89 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 8?No | sell | 5 | $0.886 | $4.43 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 8?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.919 | $4.88 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 7?No | sell | 6 | $0.790 | $4.74 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 7?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 7?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.810 | $4.88 | Jun 7, 2026 |