Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.65 | $0.710 | $2.16 | +$0.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.65 | $0.710 | $1.88 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 1.2 |
| $0.830 |
| $1.17 |
| +$0.17 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? | Yes | 38.12 | $0.052 | $1.11 | -$0.89 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $0.72 | -$0.28 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | Yes | 10.1 | $0.099 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes| buy |
| 1.2 |
| $0.830 |
| $1 |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?Yes | buy | 38.12 | $0.052 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 17 | $0.059 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.941 | $4.71 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.154 | $1.54 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.944 | $4.72 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 20 | $0.055 | $1.1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 20 | $0.059 | $1.18 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.155 | $0.78 | Mar 5, 2026 |