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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.065 | $150 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.25K |
| $0.222 |
| $500 |
| Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.93K | $0.182 | $350 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "It's a good model" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Roadmap" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "OpenAI" 5+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Roadmap" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Multimodal" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 79.79 | $0.940 | $75 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "GPT" 15+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 79.07 | $0.948 | $75 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Aug 6, 2025 |