Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | +$0 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Yes |
| 1.05 |
| $0.954 |
| $0.99 |
| -$0.01 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes| buy |
| 10.26 |
| $0.975 |
| $10 |
| 26d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.822 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 5.3 | $0.944 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.909 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.081 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.781 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Chirayu Rana fired?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.941 | $0.99 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 19.38 | $0.500 | $9.69 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | sell | 20 | $0.465 | $9.3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 73.13 | $0.530 | $38.76 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETUp | buy | 19.77 | $0.490 | $9.69 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No | sell | 3K | $0.998 | $3K | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | sell | 40.17 | $0.520 | $20.89 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 39.54 | $0.490 | $19.38 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | sell | 19.02 | $0.470 | $8.94 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 37.45 | $0.517 | $19.38 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No | buy | 3K | $0.999 | $3K | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 37.99 | $0.510 | $19.38 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 73.13 | $0.530 | $38.76 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 38.75 | $0.500 | $19.38 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 19.38 | $0.500 | $9.69 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 73.13 | $0.530 | $38.76 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 36.57 | $0.530 | $19.38 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Nets vs. BucksBucks | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Florida International vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 51.5Over | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Spread: LAR (-10.5)LAR | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?No | buy | 32.85 | $0.790 | $25.95 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Wizards vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | buy | 12.47 | $0.920 | $11.47 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Nuggets vs. PelicansNuggets | buy | 13.48 | $0.890 | $12 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Rockets vs. CavaliersCavaliers | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Knicks vs. HeatKnicks | buy | 5.42 | $0.480 | $2.6 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Thunder vs. PelicansThunder | buy | 24.47 | $0.940 | $23 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Warriors vs. PelicansWarriors | buy | 25.6 | $0.840 | $21.5 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Penguins vs. PredatorsPenguins | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Suns vs. MavericksSuns | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Nuggets vs. ClippersNuggets | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 7.84 | $0.510 | $4 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 7.84 | $0.510 | $4 | Nov 12, 2025 |