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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.968 | $0.99 | Aug 6, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.990 |
| $1 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on August 3?Up | sell | 1.03 | $0.999 | $1.03 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 3?Up | sell | 1.01 | $0.998 | $1.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?Up | sell | 1.03 | $0.998 | $1.03 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 3?Up | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.998 | $1.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.997 | $1.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 3?Up | sell | 1.01 | $0.977 | $0.99 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 3?Up | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on August 3?Up | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?Up | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 49.0 in July?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.998 | $1.02 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 49.0 in July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 2, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.998 | $1.01 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 2?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 2?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 2?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 2?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.997 | $1.01 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 2?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.997 | $1.01 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 2?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.998 | $1.01 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 2?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 2?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.998 | $1.01 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 2?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 2?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 2?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 2?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.998 | $1.02 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 1?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.997 | $1.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 1?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.997 | $1.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 1?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 1?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on August 1?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.996 | $1.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |