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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 30.44 | $0.986 | $30 | 22d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 30.33 |
| $0.989 |
| $30 |
| 22d ago |
 Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 31.51 | $0.952 | $30 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 1?Yes | buy | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 40.57 | $0.986 | $40 | May 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 62.33 | $0.963 | $60 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 20.98 | $0.953 | $20 | May 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 6?No | buy | 20.35 | $0.983 | $20 | May 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 15.82 | $0.999 | $15.8 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 9.33 | $0.720 | $6.72 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 21?Yes | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 15?No | buy | 41.72 | $0.999 | $41.67 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 29?Yes | buy | 21.09 | $0.999 | $21.07 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10.57 | $0.946 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16?No | buy | 35.87 | $0.999 | $35.83 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 11?Yes | buy | 28.66 | $0.993 | $28.46 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?No | buy | 12.17 | $0.986 | $12 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 27?No | buy | 34.75 | $0.999 | $34.72 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.923 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?No | buy | 20.28 | $0.986 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?Yes | buy | 39.7 | $0.998 | $39.62 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 6?Yes | buy | 39.6 | $0.999 | $39.56 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 30?Yes | buy | 18.63 | $0.998 | $18.59 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 20.9 | $0.957 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 11?Yes | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No | buy | 17.78 | $0.999 | $17.76 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 9?Yes | buy | 17.76 | $0.999 | $17.74 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 8?No | buy | 17.75 | $0.998 | $17.71 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 3?Yes | buy | 17.71 | $0.999 | $17.69 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on December 2?Yes | buy | 17.69 | $0.999 | $17.67 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 1?Yes | buy | 17.68 | $0.998 | $17.64 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 28?Yes | buy | 17.64 | $0.999 | $17.62 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 26?No | buy | 17.62 | $0.995 | $17.53 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 17.53 | $0.996 | $17.46 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 24?No | buy | 17.46 | $0.999 | $17.44 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 19?No | buy | 17.45 | $0.999 | $17.43 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.37 | $0.540 | $11 | Nov 19, 2025 |