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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 50K |
| $0.001 |
| $50 |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.75K | $0.004 | $99 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.06K | $0.002 | $40 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 338.21 | $0.035 | $12 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.011 | $11 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.43K | $0.007 | $220 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.001 | $50 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 588.23 | $0.090 | $52.94 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11K | $0.001 | $11 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11K | $0.001 | $11 | Dec 8, 2025 |