Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | sell | 1.74 | $0.740 | $1.29 | Apr 8, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.75 |
| $0.750 |
| $1.31 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.05 | $0.620 | $1.27 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.619 | $1.27 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 11?No | sell | 2.68 | $0.530 | $1.42 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 11?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.610 | $1.64 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | sell | 3.77 | $0.300 | $1.13 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.310 | $1.17 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 3.55 | $0.390 | $1.38 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | buy | 3.55 | $0.400 | $1.42 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.600 | $1.8 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.610 | $1.83 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 2.53 | $0.460 | $1.16 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.580 | $1.47 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.660 | $1.33 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.670 | $1.36 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 4.19 | $0.260 | $1.09 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.19 | $0.270 | $1.13 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.95 | $0.710 | $1.38 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.710 | $1.39 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.530 | $1.33 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 2.51 | $0.550 | $1.38 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | sell | 2.16 | $0.630 | $1.36 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.660 | $1.43 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 2.47 | $0.426 | $1.05 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.429 | $1.06 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.620 | $1.31 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.640 | $1.36 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Yes | sell | 5.11 | $0.300 | $1.53 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.270 | $1.38 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 2.26 | $0.550 | $1.24 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.560 | $1.27 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5.29 | $0.260 | $1.38 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.3 | $0.270 | $1.43 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.700 | $0.99 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.710 | $1.01 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1.84 | $0.740 | $1.36 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.750 | $1.38 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.610 | $1.53 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.620 | $1.55 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.490 | $1.02 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.720 | $0.97 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.2 | $0.540 | $1.19 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.21 | $0.530 | $1.17 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 2.36 | $0.510 | $1.2 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.530 | $1.25 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 2.79 | $0.510 | $1.42 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.530 | $1.48 | May 17, 2025 |