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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 31.47 | $0.830 | $26.12 | Apr 5, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 52.08 |
| $0.960 |
| $50 |
| Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No | buy | 10.97 | $0.950 | $10.42 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 65.15 | $0.945 | $61.57 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100.7 | $0.993 | $100 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.840 | $8 | Jan 26, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 151.36 | $0.991 | $150 | Jan 26, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jan 26, 2026 |