Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
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CasualRick is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,725,127 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of Sep 13, 8:26 PM the record shows -$164.99 observed lifetime PnL, $14.33K of traded volume, 97 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 42.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xba5db23d464c58024e53cc0445cb9ace6969188b
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 18.51 |
| $0.060 |
| $1.11 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 13.11 | $0.370 | $4.85 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | sell | 38.09 | $0.110 | $4.19 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes | sell | 11.11 | $0.029 | $0.32 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.019 | $0.34 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 31.48 | $0.413 | $13 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 38.1 | $0.262 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-18?Yes | sell | 34.13 | $0.996 | $33.99 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-18?Yes | buy | 34.13 | $0.879 | $30 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-18?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.435 | $12.43 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 48.75 | $0.143 | $6.97 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-18?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30.67 | $0.652 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.420 | $15 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.003 | $0.08 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?Yes | sell | 17.59 | $0.720 | $12.66 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?Yes | buy | 17.59 | $0.739 | $13 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.004 | $0.2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.121 | $7.56 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes | sell | 56.88 | $0.990 | $56.31 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 35.53 | $0.104 | $3.7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes | buy | 38.02 | $0.526 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 51.88 | $0.330 | $17.12 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 35.53 | $0.197 | $7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 18.08 | $0.553 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.022 | $3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp | sell | 20.54 | $0.830 | $17.05 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain | sell | 34.06 | $0.998 | $33.97 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | sell | 13.47 | $0.998 | $13.44 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 13.47 | $0.965 | $13 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreYes | sell | 11.76 | $0.310 | $3.65 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | sell | 57.14 | $0.035 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 11.33 | $0.882 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain | sell | 16.76 | $0.655 | $10.98 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 11.76 | $0.680 | $8 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.175 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France to score first vs. Spain?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 16.77 | $0.417 | $7 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.690 | $12 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.