Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 376.32 | $0.790 | $295.41 | -$1.88 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 376.32 | $0.790 | $297.29 | 6h ago |
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marsong072523 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #3,083,146 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$2.84K observed lifetime PnL, 795 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 54.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xb50248d3cbd7184d398ecde55a1b6b6d3b3f145c
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 23.16 |
| $0.963 |
| $22.3 |
| Jun 3, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 23.16 | $0.950 | $22 | Jun 2, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.44K | $0.007 | $24.06 | Jun 2, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.44K | $0.008 | $27.5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.32K | $0.001 | $3.32 | Jun 1, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No | sell | 221.17 | $0.890 | $196.84 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 173.27 | $0.554 | $95.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 112.5 | $0.870 | $97.88 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 82.23 | $0.524 | $43.09 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 388.32 | $0.515 | $200 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | sell | 142.71 | $0.840 | $119.88 | Jun 1, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No | sell | 144.13 | $0.890 | $128.28 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 579.76 | $0.510 | $295.68 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 307.29 | $0.983 | $302.07 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 396.43 | $0.510 | $202.18 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | sell | 217.57 | $0.950 | $206.69 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 125.46 | $0.425 | $53.32 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes | sell | 61.46 | $0.890 | $54.7 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200.26 | $0.540 | $108.14 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No | sell | 109.89 | $0.983 | $108.02 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.604 | $830.18 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.34K | $0.330 | $771.95 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 553.92 | $0.361 | $200 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 69.44 | $0.360 | $25 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 341.3 | $0.293 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 235.37 | $0.289 | $68 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 250.81 | $0.307 | $77 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?No | sell | 85 | $0.991 | $84.25 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 112.5 | $0.880 | $99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No | buy | 63.59 | $0.786 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 62.64 | $0.910 | $57 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 658.42 | $0.997 | $656.44 | Jun 1, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No | buy | 56.32 | $0.870 | $49 | Jun 1, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No | buy | 28.74 | $0.870 | $25 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | sell | 64.38 | $0.991 | $63.78 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 62.03 | $0.993 | $61.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No | buy | 21.84 | $0.870 | $19 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes | sell | 124.28 | $0.999 | $124.16 | Jun 1, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 122.47 | $0.810 | $99.2 | May 31, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.64 | $0.825 | $36 | May 31, 2026 |
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 WinnerJD Gaming | buy | 13.33 | $0.300 | $4 | May 31, 2026 |
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 WinnerJD Gaming | buy | 6.56 | $0.610 | $4 | May 31, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.19 | $0.835 | $6 | May 31, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 80.14 | $0.836 | $67 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?Yes | sell | 22.9 | $0.789 | $18.06 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes | buy | 61.47 | $0.895 | $55 | May 31, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.