Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.021 | $31.49 | May 24, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 406.25 |
| $0.022 |
| $9.03 |
| May 24, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 409.98 | $0.048 | $19.8 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 777.11 | $0.026 | $20 | May 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 53.13 | $0.320 | $17 | May 21, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 722.22 | $0.036 | $26 | May 21, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 281.25 | $0.160 | $45 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.880 | $6 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.930 | $15 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.15 | $0.973 | $40.04 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.15 | $0.972 | $40 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.061 | $3.9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.140 | $1.96 | Jan 15, 2026 |