Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 47.83 | $0.083 | $3.97 | Mar 14, 2026 |
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upnorff is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,492,895 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$68.52 observed lifetime PnL, 64 distinct markets, 39 resolved positions, a 79.5% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xae07d8a6fb0b4eab3a63c4a9421c21b76c718bad
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 3.92 |
| $0.690 |
| $2.71 |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.41 | $0.760 | $1.07 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown | buy | 5.2 | $0.190 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown | buy | 2.07 | $0.690 | $1.43 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Clippers vs. WarriorsClippers | buy | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder | buy | 4.76 | $0.460 | $2.19 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp | buy | 10.31 | $0.470 | $4.84 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 78.43 | $0.255 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers | sell | 0.23 | $0.999 | $0.23 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers | sell | 19 | $0.999 | $18.98 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown | sell | 8.05 | $0.991 | $7.98 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 8.05 | $0.980 | $7.89 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Lakers vs. WarriorsWarriors | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETDown | sell | 16.7 | $0.020 | $0.33 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETDown | buy | 16.45 | $0.590 | $9.71 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETUp | sell | 37.94 | $0.990 | $37.56 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETUp | buy | 37.95 | $0.990 | $37.57 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETDown | buy | 13.52 | $0.360 | $4.87 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp | sell | 50.73 | $0.843 | $42.75 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp | buy | 50.39 | $0.797 | $40.17 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp | sell | 10.04 | $0.310 | $3.11 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp | buy | 9.89 | $0.490 | $4.84 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp | buy | 9.71 | $0.400 | $3.88 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers | sell | 41.66 | $0.990 | $41.24 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 3.15 | $0.310 | $0.98 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp | sell | 3.41 | $0.990 | $3.38 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.38 | $0.290 | $0.98 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETUp | buy | 3.63 | $0.270 | $0.98 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Heat vs. 76ersHeat | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 5.02 | $0.950 | $4.76 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | sell | 9.11 | $0.170 | $1.55 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 8.97 | $0.540 | $4.85 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp | sell | 2.59 | $0.380 | $0.98 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 2.56 | $0.380 | $0.97 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown | sell | 9.75 | $0.950 | $9.26 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown | buy | 9.73 | $0.930 | $9.05 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown | sell | 1.72 | $0.750 | $1.29 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown | buy | 1.7 | $0.570 | $0.97 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETUp | sell | 2.34 | $0.430 | $1.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETUp | buy | 2.31 | $0.420 | $0.97 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETDown | sell | 10.03 | $0.880 | $8.83 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 9.98 | $0.810 | $8.08 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETDown | buy | 2.63 | $0.370 | $0.97 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETUp | sell | 1.19 | $0.990 | $1.18 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETUp | buy | 1.2 | $0.970 | $1.16 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.