Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10.89K | $0.870 | $9.47K | Jan 30, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 11.57K |
| $0.864 |
| $10K |
| Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.47K | $0.872 | $10K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.65K | $0.859 | $10K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.64K | $0.859 | $10K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.2K | $0.893 | $10K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.19K | $0.894 | $10K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.19K | $0.893 | $10K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.45K | $0.874 | $10K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.59K | $0.863 | $10K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 20.32K | $0.859 | $17.45K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 6.36K | $0.883 | $5.62K | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 10.24K | $0.002 | $24.06 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 10.24K | $0.293 | $3K | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Yes | buy | 26.89K | $0.112 | $3K | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 26.99K | $0.074 | $2K | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 2.18K | $0.457 | $997.04 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.52K | $0.140 | $771.59 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.86K | $0.400 | $744.99 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | sell | 5.68K | $0.041 | $230.25 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 4.55K | $0.060 | $272.73 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.93K | $0.180 | $528.25 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.55K | $0.210 | $536.13 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.2K | $0.460 | $1.47K | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.279 | $600 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.316 | $600 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.2K | $0.625 | $2K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.86K | $0.537 | $1K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.341 | $1K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.55K | $0.392 | $1K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 4.55K | $0.220 | $1K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.52K | $0.363 | $2K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 5.68K | $0.176 | $1K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 12.59K | $0.397 | $5K | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.378 | $500 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.373 | $500 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.17K | $0.143 | $1.6K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.431 | $800 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.365 | $800 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.31K | $0.130 | $1.6K | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 4.89K | $0.081 | $394.56 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 36.69K | $0.184 | $6.76K | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 13.31K | $0.381 | $5.07K | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 14.23K | $0.351 | $5K | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.846 | $1.9K | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 9.15K | $0.194 | $1.77K | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 4.89K | $0.659 | $3.23K | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.67K | $0.450 | $3K | Nov 18, 2025 |