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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 20.49 | $0.460 | $9.43 | Jun 14, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 20.49 |
| $0.610 |
| $12.5 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 2.17 | $0.440 | $0.95 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.007 | $0.28 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.019 | $0.53 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.001 | $0.33 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.046 | $0.77 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.610 | $0.92 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.020 | $0.91 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | sell | 63.5 | $0.014 | $0.89 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?No | sell | 4 | $0.260 | $1.04 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.124 | $1.15 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | sell | 38.5 | $0.032 | $1.22 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.370 | $2.18 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.180 | $3.27 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.658 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 16?Yes | buy | 6.29 | $0.159 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.108 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 18.98 | $0.053 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 19.52 | $0.051 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | May 13, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.360 | $1.16 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes | sell | 172.31 | $0.049 | $8.47 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 246.36 | $0.031 | $7.6 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes | buy | 172.32 | $0.058 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.26 | $0.660 | $1.49 | May 12, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?No | sell | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 23.36 | $0.043 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?No | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.560 | $2.07 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 167.19 | $0.060 | $10 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Yes | sell | 18.24 | $0.650 | $11.86 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 39.87 | $0.025 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 45.43 | $0.028 | $1.27 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 12.29 | $0.870 | $10.69 | May 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.660 | $0.85 | May 9, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?No | buy | 39.47 | $0.076 | $3 | May 8, 2026 |