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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 14.66 | $0.996 | $14.59 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.66 | $0.996 | $14.6 | 3d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 11.53 |
| $0.997 |
| $11.5 |
| 18d ago |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.830 | $2.51 | 18d ago |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 14.01 | $0.999 | $14 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 70.07 | $0.999 | $70 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No | buy | 69.97 | $0.999 | $69.9 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?Yes | buy | 69.87 | $0.999 | $69.8 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 69.87 | $0.999 | $69.8 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 69.77 | $0.999 | $69.7 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?No | buy | 69.57 | $0.999 | $69.5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?Yes | buy | 69.67 | $0.999 | $69.6 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 69.62 | $0.999 | $69.55 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 666.15 | $0.002 | $1.33 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 22?Yes | buy | 71.03 | $0.999 | $70.96 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?No | buy | 70.97 | $0.999 | $70.9 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?Yes | buy | 646.5 | $0.002 | $1.29 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No | buy | 72.41 | $0.999 | $72.34 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 1?No | buy | 72.34 | $0.999 | $72.27 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?No | buy | 72.28 | $0.999 | $72.21 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?No | buy | 72.21 | $0.999 | $72.14 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 13?No | buy | 72.14 | $0.999 | $72.07 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 5?Yes | buy | 72.06 | $0.999 | $71.99 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 71.99 | $0.999 | $71.92 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13?No | buy | 71.92 | $0.999 | $71.85 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?No | buy | 73.25 | $0.999 | $73.18 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.65 | $0.924 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 17?Yes | buy | 72.93 | $0.999 | $72.86 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 10?Yes | buy | 72.86 | $0.999 | $72.79 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 5?Yes | buy | 72.78 | $0.999 | $72.71 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 72.59 | $0.999 | $72.52 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 21?No | buy | 72.07 | $0.999 | $72 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 11?No | buy | 72.45 | $0.998 | $72.31 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 5?Yes | buy | 72.3 | $0.998 | $72.16 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 30?Yes | buy | 71.16 | $0.999 | $71.09 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.002 | $1.3 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.987 | $1.3 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 24?No | buy | 73.68 | $0.999 | $73.61 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 17?No | buy | 73.61 | $0.999 | $73.54 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 26.03 | $0.999 | $26 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.999 | $27 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 |