Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | No | 1.4 | $0.998 | $1.39 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.998 | $1.4 | 3d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes| buy |
| 1.4 |
| $0.940 |
| $1.32 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.960 | $2.1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.988 | $1.14 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.990 | $1.18 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.980 | $2.28 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on May 15?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | May 14, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 2.36 | $0.960 | $2.27 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.840 | $4.29 | May 14, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 70°F or higher on April 17?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 2.32 | $0.992 | $2.3 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 4.57 | $0.940 | $4.3 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.993 | $1.2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.979 | $2.2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No | buy | 4.81 | $0.998 | $4.8 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.966 | $1.4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 3.15 | $0.763 | $2.4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.998 | $10.13 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.958 | $1.3 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp | buy | 68.77 | $0.750 | $51.58 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 9?No | sell | 2.93K | $0.999 | $2.92K | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 30?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.997 | $1.4 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Dec 30, 2025 |