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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 127.98 | $0.244 | $31.23 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 66.92 |
| $0.844 |
| $56.48 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.21 | $0.839 | $26.19 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 190 | $0.250 | $47.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.300 | $57 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | sell | 315 | $0.007 | $2.29 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.016 | $0.08 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 557.75 | $0.108 | $60 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Dogecoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETDown | buy | 22.5 | $0.400 | $9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?Yes | sell | 112.9 | $0.994 | $112.22 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?Yes | buy | 112.9 | $0.620 | $70 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 84.42 | $0.770 | $65 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 10.5 | $0.095 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp | sell | 8.67 | $0.910 | $7.89 | May 14, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp | buy | 8.68 | $0.576 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 50.11 | $0.200 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown | sell | 47.61 | $0.290 | $13.81 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETUp | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETUp | sell | 5.26 | $0.770 | $4.05 | May 13, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | May 13, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 15.25 | $0.066 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown | sell | 20.7 | $0.064 | $1.32 | May 13, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown | sell | 10.95 | $0.150 | $1.64 | May 13, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown | buy | 32.74 | $0.092 | $3 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp | buy | 5.45 | $0.550 | $3 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 10.5 | $0.095 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETDown | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 197.54 | $0.136 | $26.81 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETDown | sell | 31.45 | $0.860 | $27.05 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETDown | buy | 31.24 | $0.789 | $24.65 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETUp | buy | 64.76 | $0.375 | $24.31 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 27.23 | $0.570 | $15.52 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETUp | sell | 70.64 | $0.810 | $57.22 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETUp | buy | 69.85 | $0.700 | $48.9 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETUp | sell | 72 | $0.683 | $49.17 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETUp | buy | 71.16 | $0.686 | $48.84 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | sell | 96.46 | $0.642 | $61.93 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 94.94 | $0.500 | $47.47 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp | sell | 112.37 | $0.330 | $37.08 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 110.64 | $0.438 | $48.48 | Mar 13, 2026 |