Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 670 | $0.061 | $40.79 | Mar 31, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 670.01 |
| $0.149 |
| $100 |
| Mar 30, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 585.94 | $0.100 | $58.59 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 585.94 | $0.170 | $99.61 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 177.34 | $0.420 | $74.48 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 454.55 | $0.240 | $109.09 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 177.33 | $0.290 | $51.43 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 354.68 | $0.280 | $99.31 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETUp | buy | 4.04K | $0.012 | $46.99 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETUp | buy | 653.15 | $0.152 | $99.17 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETUp | buy | 8.43 | $0.520 | $4.38 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp | sell | 103.07 | $0.990 | $102.04 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 103.05 | $0.970 | $99.96 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETUp | sell | 168.31 | $0.890 | $149.83 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETUp | buy | 165.69 | $0.450 | $74.56 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETUp | buy | 248.45 | $0.391 | $97.16 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 231.59 | $0.340 | $78.74 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.130 | $12.22 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.250 | $23.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 83.93 | $0.280 | $23.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 231.59 | $0.320 | $74.11 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | sell | 28.24 | $0.200 | $5.65 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | sell | 324.82 | $0.211 | $68.46 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 324.83 | $0.259 | $84.13 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 140.22 | $0.600 | $84.13 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 28.25 | $0.690 | $19.49 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 223.98 | $0.087 | $19.49 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 83.94 | $0.470 | $39.45 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 671.92 | $0.101 | $67.86 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 2.87K | $0.028 | $79.77 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 2.97K | $0.014 | $41.82 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 895.9 | $0.111 | $99.12 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 2.87K | $0.035 | $100 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 2.97K | $0.033 | $99.55 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 140.23 | $0.710 | $99.56 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETUp | buy | 26.45 | $0.489 | $12.94 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 431.12 | $0.031 | $13.36 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 431.12 | $0.190 | $82.11 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.140 | $50.91 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.010 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.74K | $0.008 | $40 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.014 | $40 | Feb 2, 2026 |