Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.040 | $7.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
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Crimson Kestrel 1814 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,029,205 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$15.89 observed lifetime PnL, 24 distinct markets, 4 resolved positions, a 25.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x7d962e9dbe0857c1ee0a261de1451b2320c11814
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 101.05 |
| $0.019 |
| $1.92 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Korea Republic?Yes | buy | 46.83 | $0.041 | $1.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 Korea Republic?Yes | buy | 213.33 | $0.009 | $1.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Korea Republic?Yes | buy | 32.11 | $0.090 | $2.89 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Korea Republic?Yes | buy | 60.13 | $0.080 | $4.81 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Korea Republic?Yes | buy | 91.43 | $0.021 | $1.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 3 South Africa?Yes | buy | 213.33 | $0.009 | $1.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 South Africa?Yes | buy | 39.18 | $0.049 | $1.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 3 South Africa?Yes | buy | 213.33 | $0.009 | $1.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?Yes | sell | 53.55 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 21.33 | $0.090 | $1.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 25.42 | $0.190 | $4.83 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 53.56 | $0.090 | $4.82 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 68.71 | $0.070 | $4.81 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 34.43 | $0.140 | $4.82 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ETUp | buy | 51.25 | $0.036 | $1.85 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ETUp | buy | 8.29 | $0.580 | $4.81 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETDown | buy | 185 | $0.010 | $1.85 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ETDown | buy | 30.83 | $0.060 | $1.85 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETDown | buy | 20.78 | $0.090 | $1.87 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ETDown | buy | 1.85K | $0.001 | $1.85 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ETDown | buy | 92.5 | $0.020 | $1.85 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ETDown | buy | 18.6 | $0.100 | $1.86 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ETDown | buy | 199.5 | $0.009 | $1.85 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 44.63 | $0.108 | $4.82 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | buy | 77.74 | $0.062 | $4.82 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 30.96 | $0.250 | $7.74 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 320.48 | $0.021 | $6.73 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.