Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 2.27 |
| $0.440 |
| $1 |
| Jan 30, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 7.51 | $0.932 | $7 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.932 | $4 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 7.51 | $0.932 | $7 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 18?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86000 on Apr 18?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 18?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.100 | $1.8 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Apr 17, 2025 |