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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 7.08 | $0.985 | $6.97 | Nov 25, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 401.67 |
| $0.006 |
| $2.41 |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.93 | $0.950 | $9.43 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 479.1 | $0.209 | $99.91 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 96.57 | $0.993 | $95.89 | Jun 21, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 101.61 | $0.998 | $101.41 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 80.05 | $0.995 | $79.65 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 80.05 | $0.996 | $79.73 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 105.41 | $0.997 | $105.09 | Jun 14, 2025 |
Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 105.41 | $0.998 | $105.2 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 91.23 | $0.994 | $90.68 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 91.24 | $0.995 | $90.78 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 106.67 | $0.992 | $105.82 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 450–474 times June 6–13?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.998 | $1.11 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 106.67 | $0.995 | $106.14 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 106.53 | $0.998 | $106.32 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 106.54 | $0.999 | $106.43 | Jun 6, 2025 |
Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 105.65 | $0.993 | $104.9 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 105.66 | $0.997 | $105.34 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 105.32 | $0.995 | $104.79 | May 30, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.999 | $1.09 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 105.32 | $0.998 | $105.11 | May 28, 2025 |
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 104.97 | $0.991 | $104.03 | May 25, 2025 |
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?No | buy | 3.88 | $0.907 | $3.52 | May 23, 2025 |
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 104.97 | $0.993 | $104.24 | May 22, 2025 |
Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 102.78 | $0.993 | $102.06 | May 22, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 16–23?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.998 | $1.04 | May 20, 2025 |
Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 102.79 | $0.994 | $102.17 | May 19, 2025 |
Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 95.96 | $0.999 | $95.86 | May 16, 2025 |
Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 5.52 | $0.985 | $5.44 | May 15, 2025 |
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 84.34 | $0.992 | $83.67 | May 14, 2025 |
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 84.34 | $0.993 | $83.75 | May 14, 2025 |
Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 85.99 | $0.997 | $85.73 | May 12, 2025 |
Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.990 | $5.27 | May 11, 2025 |
Will another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.999 | $2.67 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 85.99 | $0.998 | $85.82 | May 10, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 86.32 | $0.019 | $1.64 | May 7, 2025 |
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.999 | $7.34 | May 5, 2025 |
Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 51.75 | $0.997 | $51.59 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.999 | $5.12 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 51.75 | $0.998 | $51.65 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 107.58 | $0.997 | $107.26 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 107.59 | $0.998 | $107.37 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.998 | $4.06 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 40.77 | $0.998 | $40.69 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 70.65 | $0.999 | $70.58 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 40.77 | $0.998 | $40.69 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $79000 on Apr 25?No | buy | 9.88 | $0.999 | $9.87 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No | buy | 12.55 | $0.997 | $12.51 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 18–25?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.998 | $10.11 | Apr 22, 2025 |