Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.59 | $0.107 | $0.02 | -$0.04 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jim Parillo win the Legend Trade Series?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.979 | $29.37 | Apr 17, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.146 |
| $4.38 |
| Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 449 | $0.966 | $433.73 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 275 | $0.899 | $247.23 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 275 | $0.899 | $247.23 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Yes | sell | 648 | $0.947 | $613.66 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Yes | buy | 648 | $0.944 | $611.71 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 563 | $0.988 | $556.24 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?No | sell | 631 | $0.970 | $612.07 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 629 | $0.970 | $610.13 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?No | sell | 397 | $0.975 | $387.08 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 399 | $0.975 | $389.03 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | sell | 635 | $0.964 | $612.14 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | buy | 635 | $0.953 | $605.16 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 564 | $0.973 | $548.77 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 689 | $0.877 | $604.25 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 689 | $0.872 | $600.81 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 59 | $0.984 | $58.06 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.032 | $40.7 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 249 | $0.952 | $237.05 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 505 | $0.466 | $235.33 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.078 | $2.57 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.077 | $2.54 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 0.72 | $0.866 | $0.62 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.985 | $0.99 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.913 | $10.96 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.957 | $11.48 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.986 | $1.7 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 12 | $0.985 | $11.82 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.990 | $11.88 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.988 | $11.86 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.988 | $11.86 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 12 | $0.991 | $11.89 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 12 | $0.992 | $11.9 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $95000 and $97000 on May 9?No | sell | 12 | $0.993 | $11.92 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.991 | $11.89 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.990 | $11.88 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.087 | $2.87 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 2–9?No | buy | 9 | $0.984 | $8.86 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.083 | $1.66 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?No | buy | 14 | $0.867 | $12.14 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.990 | $1.78 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.969 | $14.54 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.946 | $15.14 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will USC win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No | sell | 15 | $0.988 | $14.82 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28?No | buy | 15 | $0.965 | $14.48 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 13 | $0.953 | $12.39 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?No | sell | 52 | $0.039 | $2.03 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or below on March 24?No | buy | 12 | $0.989 | $11.87 | Mar 24, 2025 |