Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 6.45 | $0.310 | $3.9 | +$1.9 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 20m ago |
 |
| No |
| 4.65 |
| $0.430 |
| $2.53 |
| +$0.53 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | No | 2.74 | $0.730 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August? | No | 4.08 | $0.490 | $1.96 | -$0.04 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.560 | $1.91 | -$0.09 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 4.65 | $0.430 | $1.74 | -$0.26 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 6.25 | $0.320 | $0.63 | -$1.38 |
| buy |
| 3.57 |
| $0.560 |
| $2 |
| 8h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 16h ago |
 LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | 1d ago |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | 7d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.292 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 10d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 11d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 11d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 18d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 19d ago |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 26d ago |
 Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | 26d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?Up | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 28d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 28d ago |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |