Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 13.91 | $0.999 | $13.9 | 15d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 13.51 |
| $0.999 |
| $13.5 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.997 | $1.11 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.990 | $1.11 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.999 | $1.22 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5?No | buy | 133.13 | $0.999 | $133 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?Yes | buy | 131.13 | $0.999 | $131 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?Yes | buy | 132.13 | $0.999 | $132 | May 28, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 136.14 | $0.999 | $136 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.999 | $135 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.999 | $135 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 130.13 | $0.999 | $130 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.999 | $1.17 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6?No | buy | 2.05K | $0.002 | $4.1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?No | buy | 138.14 | $0.999 | $138 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No | buy | 138.22 | $0.999 | $138.09 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17?Yes | buy | 138.24 | $0.998 | $137.96 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 12?No | buy | 130.11 | $0.999 | $129.98 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.996 | $1.2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.994 | $1.15 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 130.12 | $0.999 | $129.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.999 | $1.18 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.999 | $1.35 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.995 | $1.15 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 125.13 | $0.999 | $125 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.998 | $1.12 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 27?No | buy | 140.14 | $0.999 | $140 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?No | buy | 140.14 | $0.999 | $140 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 138.14 | $0.999 | $138 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 17?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 13?Yes | buy | 130.13 | $0.999 | $130 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 7?No | buy | 142.14 | $0.999 | $142 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.997 | $1.15 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 145.85 | $0.999 | $145.7 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 145.7 | $0.999 | $145.55 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 145.56 | $0.999 | $145.41 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?No | buy | 145.41 | $0.999 | $145.26 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 145.27 | $0.999 | $145.12 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No | buy | 145.12 | $0.999 | $144.97 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in January 2026?No | buy | 144.14 | $0.999 | $144 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 144.14 | $0.999 | $144 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 21?Yes | buy | 135.88 | $0.999 | $135.74 | Dec 21, 2025 |