Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 13? | Yes | 7.41 | $0.333 | $7.41 | +$4.94 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Solana Up or Down - September 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 20h ago |
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Gargantuan-Harald is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,308,693 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$36.82 observed lifetime PnL, 48 distinct markets, 18 resolved positions, a 50.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x66a9b2f74c93f3889337151f29d2f7e74df320e7
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 5.41 |
| $0.340 |
| $5.41 |
| +$3.57 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 14? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 14? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.030 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on September 13? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 13? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.01 | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 13? | Yes | 7.27 | $0.150 | $0 | -$1.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 13? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 13? | Yes | 5.42 | $0.310 | $0 | -$1.68 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 13? | Yes | 5.03 | $0.310 | $0 | -$1.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 13? | Yes | 5.03 | $0.390 | $0 | -$1.96 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.010 |
| $1 |
| 20h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 14?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 21h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 14?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | 21h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.333 | $2.47 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 7.27 | $0.150 | $1.09 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on September 13?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.220 | $1.14 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.460 | $2.39 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 7.43 | $0.152 | $1.13 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 13?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.340 | $1.84 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 13?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 13?Yes | buy | 5.42 | $0.310 | $1.68 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.290 | $2.15 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 7.68 | $0.183 | $1.41 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C or higher on September 13?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 5.97 | $0.332 | $1.98 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 5.83 | $0.290 | $1.69 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 11.02 | $0.091 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.390 | $1.96 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.310 | $1.56 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 6.46 | $0.280 | $1.81 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 6.46 | $0.260 | $1.68 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 6.44 | $0.160 | $1.03 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 5.76 | $0.410 | $2.36 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.201 | $1.21 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 5.33 | $0.420 | $2.24 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 5.52 | $0.241 | $1.33 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 13?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETUp | buy | 23.11 | $0.230 | $5.32 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETUp | buy | 15.26 | $0.320 | $4.88 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.630 | $9.84 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 21.16 | $0.630 | $13.33 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 34.66 | $0.100 | $3.47 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 31.02 | $0.410 | $12.72 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.320 | $3.48 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.66 | $0.350 | $3.73 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 6.94 | $0.660 | $4.58 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.470 | $4.79 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3AM ETDown | buy | 10.21 | $0.810 | $8.27 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 8.26 | $0.900 | $7.43 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown | sell | 4.1 | $0.970 | $3.98 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.04 | $0.480 | $1.94 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.430 | $5.38 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.