Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
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sh0rtist is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,846,673 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$317.45 observed lifetime PnL, 118 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 50.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x5d3c0cca8d6b852d82cf6e711bd2472231640896
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 45.45 |
| $0.110 |
| $5 |
| Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 98.73 | $0.051 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 92.73 | $0.022 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.73 | $0.022 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 259.04 | $0.008 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.93 | $0.250 | $0.98 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 3.38 | $0.290 | $0.98 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 2.78 | $0.350 | $0.97 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETDown | buy | 19.74 | $0.200 | $3.95 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - January 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 34.99 | $0.029 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETDown | buy | 4.7 | $0.210 | $0.99 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.5 | $0.180 | $0.99 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETDown | buy | 8.03 | $0.124 | $0.99 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETDown | buy | 2.43 | $0.400 | $0.97 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | sell | 3.29 | $0.940 | $3.09 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.26 | $0.300 | $0.98 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 24.38 | $0.041 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.98 | $0.390 | $1.94 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.202 | $5.05 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 53.19 | $0.162 | $8.61 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.204 | $5.1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 61.66 | $0.196 | $12.1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 7.09 | $0.140 | $0.99 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 3.93 | $0.250 | $0.98 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.094 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.67 | $0.081 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.09 | $0.335 | $15.11 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 61.66 | $0.177 | $10.91 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.1 | $0.142 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.115 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.91 | $0.999 | $31.88 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.