Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.995 | $1.1 | May 4, 2026 |
xvbgfdn is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #1,651,912 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$5.12 observed lifetime PnL, 25 resolved positions, a 48.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x5ae1c77f3765223e2dd9aee5feaef8b1cf70716d
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?Yes| buy |
| 1.14 |
| $0.973 |
| $1.11 |
| May 4, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.960 | $1.21 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.707 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.997 | $3.56 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.999 | $4.6 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.881 | $4.93 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.997 | $10.18 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 8.9 | $0.976 | $8.69 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 9.85 | $0.999 | $9.84 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.989 | $5.6 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.984 | $2.66 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.9K | $0.002 | $9.79 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 10.13 | $0.998 | $10.11 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.999 | $10.12 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | sell | 10.14 | $0.998 | $10.12 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.999 | $10.13 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No | sell | 10.15 | $0.998 | $10.13 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.999 | $10.14 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Gnangbo Kacou win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?No | sell | 10.16 | $0.998 | $10.14 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Gnangbo Kacou win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.999 | $10.15 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 10.17 | $0.998 | $10.15 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.999 | $10.16 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 10.18 | $0.998 | $10.16 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.999 | $10.17 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 10.19 | $0.998 | $10.17 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.999 | $10.18 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Jean-Louis Billon win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?No | sell | 10.21 | $0.997 | $10.18 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Jean-Louis Billon win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.998 | $10.19 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.999 | $10.19 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.999 | $10.19 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 10.21 | $0.998 | $10.19 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.999 | $10.2 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 4.72 | $0.998 | $4.71 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 5.5 | $0.998 | $5.49 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 4.72 | $0.999 | $4.72 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.999 | $5.5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | sell | 10.24 | $0.998 | $10.22 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.999 | $10.23 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 10.26 | $0.997 | $10.23 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.998 | $10.24 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.