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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 15.26 | $0.996 | $15.19 | -$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.26 | $0.996 | $15.2 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 2.03 |
| $0.650 |
| $1.43 |
| +$0.11 |
| buy |
| 2.03 |
| $0.650 |
| $1.32 |
| 3d ago |
 Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 16.52 | $0.999 | $16.5 | 18d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 16.52 | $0.999 | $16.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No | buy | 86.49 | $0.999 | $86.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?Yes | buy | 86.39 | $0.999 | $86.3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.002 | $2.16 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 88.59 | $0.999 | $88.5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 88.59 | $0.999 | $88.5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.002 | $2.16 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?Yes | buy | 90.59 | $0.999 | $90.5 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 90.59 | $0.999 | $90.5 | May 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No | buy | 90.27 | $0.997 | $90 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?No | buy | 90.29 | $0.999 | $90.2 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.002 | $2.16 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No | buy | 92.59 | $0.999 | $92.5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 27?Yes | buy | 92.52 | $0.999 | $92.43 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No | buy | 92.43 | $0.999 | $92.34 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 15?Yes | buy | 92.34 | $0.999 | $92.25 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 8?No | buy | 92.26 | $0.999 | $92.17 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 92.18 | $0.999 | $92.09 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 25?No | buy | 92.08 | $0.999 | $91.99 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 19?Yes | buy | 91.99 | $0.999 | $91.9 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 12?No | buy | 46.86 | $0.999 | $46.81 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 45.05 | $0.999 | $45 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on March 4?No | buy | 91.81 | $0.999 | $91.72 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 1?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?No | buy | 88.09 | $0.999 | $88 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.997 | $1.15 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.999 | $1.22 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.999 | $1.17 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.999 | $1.24 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 87.09 | $0.999 | $87 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 92.93 | $0.999 | $92.84 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 13?Yes | buy | 90.79 | $0.999 | $90.7 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 8?Yes | buy | 90.7 | $0.999 | $90.61 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 2?Yes | buy | 90.61 | $0.999 | $90.52 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 26?Yes | buy | 90.52 | $0.999 | $90.43 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 65.37 | $0.997 | $65.17 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 10?No | buy | 24.05 | $0.998 | $24 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.004 | $1.6 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 6?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 19?No | buy | 22.42 | $0.999 | $22.4 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 46°F or higher on November 19?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.995 | $1.24 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 19?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.998 | $1.14 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 18?No | buy | 21.02 | $0.999 | $21 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.996 | $1.26 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on November 18?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.999 | $1.22 | Nov 18, 2025 |