Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 12.98 | $0.850 | $11.03 | Apr 21, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.140 |
| $5.6 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.230 | $16.43 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 13.5 | $0.370 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 163.64 | $0.090 | $14.73 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 36.58 | $0.460 | $16.83 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 36.59 | $0.410 | $15 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | sell | 156.25 | $0.060 | $9.38 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 77.15 | $0.140 | $10.8 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | sell | 925.92 | $0.024 | $22.22 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 157.47 | $0.150 | $23.62 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.027 | $50 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 165.69 | $0.260 | $43.08 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei public appearance by Friday?No | buy | 9.77K | $0.002 | $20.42 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 65.21 | $0.310 | $20.22 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 318.18 | $0.110 | $35 | Jan 7, 2026 |