Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETDown | buy | 10.31 | $0.470 | $4.84 | Mar 19, 2026 |
|
Fortunate-Appliance is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #258,266 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$89.61 observed lifetime PnL, 151 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 96.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x544b434402821f8c0c79e9521476ba68813977c1
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 9.5 |
| $0.510 |
| $4.84 |
| Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 5.48 | $0.530 | $2.91 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETDown | buy | 5.29 | $0.550 | $2.91 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETDown | buy | 1.76 | $0.550 | $0.97 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 3.95 | $0.490 | $1.94 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp | buy | 5.81 | $0.500 | $2.91 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 5.48 | $0.530 | $2.91 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETDown | buy | 9.36 | $0.518 | $4.84 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown | buy | 9.32 | $0.520 | $4.84 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | buy | 20.18 | $0.480 | $9.69 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 9.69 | $0.500 | $4.84 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 9.89 | $0.490 | $4.84 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown | buy | 3.88 | $0.500 | $1.94 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown | buy | 3.88 | $0.499 | $1.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 5.71 | $0.509 | $2.91 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETDown | buy | 4.12 | $0.470 | $1.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown | buy | 4.05 | $0.479 | $1.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 3.47 | $0.559 | $1.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 3.8 | $0.510 | $1.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETDown | buy | 3.96 | $0.489 | $1.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.66 | $0.530 | $1.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown | buy | 4.04 | $0.480 | $1.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 2.06 | $0.470 | $0.97 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 3.81 | $0.509 | $1.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETDown | buy | 4.31 | $0.450 | $1.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown | buy | 3.88 | $0.499 | $1.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.8 | $0.510 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown | buy | 3.8 | $0.510 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETDown | buy | 3.88 | $0.499 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 4.04 | $0.480 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | buy | 3.88 | $0.499 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp | buy | 3.88 | $0.500 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 3.81 | $0.509 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETDown | buy | 3.88 | $0.499 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown | buy | 2.02 | $0.480 | $0.97 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 3.95 | $0.490 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 3.95 | $0.490 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETDown | buy | 3.88 | $0.499 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown | buy | 3.81 | $0.509 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 3.88 | $0.499 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 3.73 | $0.519 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | buy | 3.88 | $0.499 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETDown | buy | 3.8 | $0.510 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 3.88 | $0.500 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 3.27 | $0.299 | $0.98 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 2.11 | $0.460 | $0.97 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETDown | buy | 1.79 | $0.540 | $0.97 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.