Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 175.42 | $0.140 | $24.56 | Mar 12, 2026 |
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HotsauceTrades is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,316,979 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$37.96 observed lifetime PnL, 191 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 76.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x4957c7bd786e58bd70569ef286fc010663d6d75a
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 84.71 |
| $0.124 |
| $10.5 |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 50.23 | $0.380 | $19.09 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown | buy | 6.98 | $0.699 | $4.88 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETUp | buy | 8.12 | $0.336 | $2.73 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 0.9 | $0.620 | $0.56 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 7.84 | $0.620 | $4.86 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETDown | buy | 7.24 | $0.590 | $4.27 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.415 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.67 | $0.428 | $10.13 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 24.45 | $0.409 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown | buy | 8.5 | $0.540 | $4.59 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETUp | sell | 6.94 | $0.160 | $1.11 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETUp | sell | 11.9 | $0.100 | $1.19 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 58.2 | $0.100 | $5.82 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETUp | sell | 11.9 | $0.040 | $0.48 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETUp | buy | 6.17 | $0.792 | $4.88 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown | sell | 6.94 | $0.140 | $0.97 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETDown | sell | 6.32 | $0.150 | $0.95 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.140 | $14.56 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown | sell | 13.88 | $0.060 | $0.83 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETDown | sell | 13.15 | $0.080 | $1.05 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETDown | sell | 12.19 | $0.090 | $1.1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETUp | sell | 7.14 | $0.150 | $1.07 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp | sell | 5.26 | $0.230 | $1.21 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown | buy | 43.8 | $0.910 | $39.86 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown | sell | 3.7 | $0.190 | $0.7 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp | buy | 6.98 | $0.695 | $4.85 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp | sell | 6.41 | $0.160 | $1.03 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp | buy | 6.39 | $0.770 | $4.92 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 59.94 | $0.650 | $38.96 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.