Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 2.34 | $0.390 | $0.91 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 |
shining2026 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #1,455,762 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$2.24 observed lifetime PnL, 57 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 74.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x4863021b7ac4382b684e71eeaae85fc9aa7f6a12
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 4.18 |
| $0.090 |
| $0.38 |
| Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETDown | buy | 3.71 | $0.240 | $0.89 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.36 | $0.180 | $0.78 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 2.34 | $0.390 | $0.91 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.01 | $0.230 | $0.92 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.19 | $0.220 | $0.92 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp | sell | 2.04 | $0.990 | $2.02 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp | buy | 1.97 | $0.470 | $0.92 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown | buy | 2.52 | $0.360 | $0.91 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | sell | 2.58 | $0.990 | $2.55 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETDown | buy | 1.89 | $0.490 | $0.93 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | buy | 2.46 | $0.370 | $0.91 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp | sell | 2.28 | $0.990 | $2.26 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp | buy | 2.18 | $0.420 | $0.92 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown | sell | 2 | $0.990 | $1.98 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | sell | 1.22 | $0.290 | $0.35 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown | buy | 1.93 | $0.480 | $0.93 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.23 | $0.790 | $0.97 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp | sell | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown | sell | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.29 | $0.750 | $0.96 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 2.46 | $0.370 | $0.91 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 2.74 | $0.330 | $0.9 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETDown | sell | 3.27 | $0.990 | $3.24 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETDown | buy | 3.1 | $0.290 | $0.9 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown | sell | 1.16 | $0.990 | $1.15 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.15 | $0.850 | $0.98 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp | sell | 1.08 | $0.990 | $1.07 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 1.07 | $0.920 | $0.99 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.19 | $0.220 | $0.92 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETDown | sell | 1.11 | $0.999 | $1.11 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.11 | $0.890 | $0.98 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown | sell | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown | sell | 1.36 | $0.990 | $1.35 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.33 | $0.720 | $0.96 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp | sell | 1.04 | $0.990 | $1.03 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETDown | sell | 1.39 | $0.990 | $1.38 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETDown | buy | 1.37 | $0.700 | $0.96 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | sell | 1.7 | $0.990 | $1.68 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.65 | $0.570 | $0.94 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETDown | sell | 1.19 | $0.990 | $1.18 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETDown | buy | 1.18 | $0.830 | $0.98 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | sell | 1.27 | $0.600 | $0.76 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.