Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.983 | $1.62 | 24d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 2.24 |
| $0.984 |
| $2.2 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.990 | $1.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.6K | $0.998 | $8.58K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.6K | $0.999 | $8.59K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.980 | $196 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will United States win on 2026-06-12?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12?No | buy | 200 | $0.016 | $3.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ETDown | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.7K | $0.992 | $8.63K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.7K | $0.993 | $8.64K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.7K | $0.997 | $8.67K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.7K | $0.998 | $8.68K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.44K | $0.997 | $4.42K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.71K | $0.997 | $8.68K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No | sell | 8.71K | $0.997 | $8.68K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No | buy | 8.71K | $0.998 | $8.69K | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.988 | $1.16 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.976 | $2.17 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 4.32 | $0.976 | $4.22 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on April 5?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.998 | $1.18 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?Yes | buy | 2.57 | $0.968 | $2.49 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.900 | $4.6 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.947 | $1.2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.899 | $2.3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.998 | $4.1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.966 | $1.46 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.896 | $2.4 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No | buy | 10.49 | $0.999 | $10.48 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.952 | $1.7 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.942 | $3.2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.998 | $6.5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 5?Yes | sell | 3.09K | $0.999 | $3.08K | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 5?Yes | buy | 5.15K | $0.998 | $5.14K | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 24?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.996 | $1.1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.997 | $1.4 | Nov 24, 2025 |