Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 2.26K | $0.241 | $214.24 | -$330.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.890 |
| $94.5 |
| +$5.5 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 95.24 | $0.210 | $40 | +$20 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.890 |
| $89 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.200 | $80 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETDown | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.210 | $42 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.961 | $144.15 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.260 | $80.6 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No | sell | 450 | $0.145 | $65.34 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No | buy | 450 | $0.110 | $49.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.870 | $261 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.590 | $88.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.27K | $0.310 | $394.14 | May 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp | sell | 60.97 | $0.440 | $26.83 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp | buy | 60.98 | $0.410 | $25 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETDown | sell | 89.28 | $0.400 | $35.71 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETDown | buy | 89.29 | $0.280 | $25 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | sell | 138.16 | $0.795 | $109.8 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 138.16 | $0.724 | $100 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.280 | $300 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.390 | $78 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.995 | $22.11 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp | sell | 7.37 | $0.980 | $7.22 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp | buy | 7.28 | $0.670 | $4.88 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp | buy | 83.2 | $0.060 | $4.99 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp | sell | 4.92 | $0.500 | $2.46 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.510 | $2.47 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.510 | $2.47 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp | sell | 4.92 | $0.410 | $2.02 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.510 | $2.47 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.510 | $2.47 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown | buy | 12.49 | $0.350 | $4.37 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown | sell | 94.39 | $0.420 | $39.64 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown | buy | 92.98 | $0.417 | $38.82 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp | sell | 38.6 | $0.680 | $26.25 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp | buy | 37.99 | $0.510 | $19.38 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp | sell | 219.19 | $0.724 | $158.76 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp | buy | 199.47 | $0.486 | $96.88 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp | buy | 16.28 | $0.597 | $9.71 | Mar 15, 2026 |