Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 1.6 | $0.999 | $1.6 | +$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.999 | $1.6 | 8d ago |
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| buy |
| 175 |
| $0.006 |
| $1.05 |
| 8d ago |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.968 | $1.42 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.966 | $1.07 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.997 | $1.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.989 | $2.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.985 | $1.09 | May 16, 2026 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.910 | $2.1 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.800 | $4.14 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.991 | $1.13 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.32 | $0.918 | $2.13 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 4.72 | $0.890 | $4.2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.994 | $1.1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 2.51 | $0.995 | $2.5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No | buy | 4.71 | $0.998 | $4.7 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 3.68 | $0.760 | $2.8 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of February?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.966 | $1.3 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No | buy | 10.45 | $0.998 | $10.43 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.971 | $1.1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETUp | buy | 199.92 | $0.970 | $193.92 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 193.77 | $0.480 | $93.11 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 4.87 | $0.660 | $3.22 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 124.91 | $0.397 | $49.55 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 29?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Dec 29, 2025 |