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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | May 23, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 54.55 |
| $0.110 |
| $6 |
| May 18, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes | buy | 422.65 | $0.019 | $8 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 151.18 | $0.256 | $38.67 | May 13, 2026 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.07 | $0.140 | $25.91 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 316.12 | $0.028 | $8.97 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 214.59 | $0.028 | $6 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | buy | 937.5 | $0.016 | $15 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Apr 10, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.012 | $21.46 | Feb 21, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Feb 20, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Feb 20, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.048 | $9.6 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.048 | $14.88 | Feb 18, 2026 |