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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETDown | buy | 6.61 | $0.440 | $2.91 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 72.15 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.29 |
| Mar 20, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by March 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 56.1 | $0.005 | $0.28 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.003 | $0.5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 222.77 | $0.002 | $0.45 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Consensys IPO by March 31 2026?Yes | sell | 165.87 | $0.005 | $0.86 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETUp | buy | 12.34 | $0.471 | $5.81 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.004 | $0.67 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.014 | $0.88 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.005 | $0.83 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.060 | $0.86 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 59.38 | $0.012 | $0.73 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in March 2026?Yes | sell | 187.5 | $0.012 | $2.16 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp | buy | 40.77 | $0.170 | $6.93 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 2.15 | $0.450 | $0.97 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | sell | 12.66 | $0.660 | $8.36 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 12.49 | $0.380 | $4.74 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 6.19 | $0.160 | $0.99 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 2.63 | $0.370 | $0.97 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETUp | buy | 7.09 | $0.140 | $0.99 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown | sell | 6.92 | $0.890 | $6.16 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown | buy | 6.85 | $0.715 | $4.9 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | sell | 9.3 | $0.940 | $8.74 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 9.16 | $0.410 | $3.76 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | sell | 3.41 | $0.980 | $3.34 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 3.38 | $0.290 | $0.98 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 8.36 | $0.580 | $4.85 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 5.91 | $0.660 | $3.9 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?Yes | sell | 62.48 | $0.061 | $3.8 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 21.71 | $0.491 | $10.66 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown | buy | 22.56 | $0.430 | $9.7 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 8.71 | $0.114 | $0.99 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | sell | 18.05 | $0.792 | $14.29 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 24.28 | $0.400 | $9.71 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 17.77 | $0.545 | $9.69 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp | sell | 18.23 | $0.880 | $16.04 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown | buy | 20.62 | $0.470 | $9.69 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp | buy | 17.95 | $0.540 | $9.69 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown | buy | 15.76 | $0.310 | $4.89 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown | buy | 17.44 | $0.556 | $9.7 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETDown | sell | 25.95 | $0.560 | $14.53 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETDown | buy | 25.59 | $0.380 | $9.72 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 7.96 | $0.610 | $4.86 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown | buy | 3.05 | $0.320 | $0.98 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown | buy | 2.11 | $0.460 | $0.97 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |