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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.48 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 4.85 |
| $0.101 |
| $0.49 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.290 | $1.16 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?No | sell | 6.78 | $0.390 | $2.64 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?No | sell | 8 | $0.580 | $4.64 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes | sell | 36.01 | $0.070 | $2.52 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | sell | 10 | $0.857 | $8.57 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | sell | 10 | $0.861 | $8.61 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes | sell | 24.01 | $0.280 | $6.72 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.350 | $6.65 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.23 | $0.160 | $1.64 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.290 | $6.96 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will 220-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 9 | $0.840 | $7.56 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 13 | $0.850 | $11.05 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.23 | $0.390 | $3.6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.51 | $0.140 | $0.35 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | sell | 4.48 | $0.120 | $0.54 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | sell | 36.52 | $0.140 | $5.11 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.150 | $1.65 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.300 | $12 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.607 | $26.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.370 | $19.61 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.440 | $0.81 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.450 | $5.85 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.170 | $0.68 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.97 | $0.430 | $2.14 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.540 | $7.02 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No | sell | 37 | $0.590 | $21.83 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes | sell | 14.25 | $0.300 | $4.27 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes | sell | 7.75 | $0.310 | $2.4 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.230 | $5.98 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.220 | $9.46 | Jul 8, 2026 |