Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | sell | 2.31 | $0.999 | $2.31 | Jun 21, 2026 |
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serdarcaliskan is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,983,895 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$980.06 observed lifetime PnL, 137 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 94.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x2be018ff9d1923281cdb15ef8f27e54e0147d48c
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 5.58 |
| $0.624 |
| $3.48 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?Yes | sell | 4.95 | $0.971 | $4.81 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.998 | $5.02 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.993 | $5.11 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?No | sell | 5.41 | $0.998 | $5.4 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will "Sweet Magnolias: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.921 | $4.99 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.979 | $4.98 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.987 | $4.98 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.960 | $4.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.935 | $4.99 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.980 | $4.99 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.989 | $4.99 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Maria Natale win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.910 | $3.79 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.969 | $3.65 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?Yes | sell | 2.62 | $0.453 | $1.19 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.969 | $4.99 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.924 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.993 | $4.99 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.900 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.921 | $4.99 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.970 | $2.62 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?No | buy | 2.87 | $0.887 | $2.55 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?Yes | buy | 2.62 | $0.966 | $2.53 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.453 | $1.04 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $250M?Yes | buy | 2.66 | $0.970 | $2.58 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.915 | $2.68 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.879 | $2.67 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.940 | $3.06 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.918 | $3.07 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.960 | $3.06 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.960 | $3.06 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 2.65 | $0.917 | $2.43 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-03?No | buy | 2.77 | $0.870 | $2.41 | Jun 1, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No | buy | 2.73 | $0.910 | $2.48 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.955 | $2.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 2.49 | $0.974 | $2.43 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.979 | $2.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Madagascar win on 2026-06-02?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.970 | $2.32 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.