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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?No | buy | 791.95 | $0.371 | $293.94 | May 23, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 143.48 |
| $0.023 |
| $3.3 |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 583.34 | $0.006 | $3.3 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 583.34 | $0.298 | $173.74 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 271.2 | $0.554 | $150.23 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 186.56 | $0.126 | $23.51 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 271.2 | $0.565 | $153.23 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | sell | 3.06K | $0.050 | $153.24 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?Yes | buy | 121.41 | $0.340 | $41.28 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 288.64 | $0.143 | $41.28 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 3.06K | $0.070 | $214.53 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 343.28 | $0.625 | $214.53 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 288.64 | $0.157 | $45.39 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 343.28 | $0.670 | $230 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Yes | sell | 275.94 | $0.998 | $275.39 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Yes | buy | 275.95 | $0.508 | $140.21 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 206.2 | $0.680 | $140.22 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.490 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.480 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | buy | 384.83 | $0.520 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | buy | 96.8 | $0.517 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.095 | $29.72 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | buy | 212.17 | $0.471 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 186.57 | $0.268 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | buy | 271.87 | $0.445 | $121 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 569.3 | $0.976 | $555.64 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 657.89 | $0.974 | $640.64 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 156.26 | $0.230 | $35.94 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 421.05 | $0.190 | $80 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 413.04 | $0.230 | $95 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 236.84 | $0.190 | $45 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.034 | $90.64 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.180 | $427.78 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 769.75 | $0.160 | $123.16 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?Yes | buy | 76.19 | $0.630 | $48 | Nov 4, 2025 |