Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
|
prof.guessing is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,188,155 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$24.62 observed lifetime PnL, 17 distinct markets, 5 resolved positions, a 40.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x29214813ce0ec5c38e7bd7341f96da24e5bbf48f
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 333.33 |
| $0.003 |
| $1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.016 | $1.5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | buy | 9.92 | $0.240 | $2.38 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.96 | $0.610 | $4.86 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | sell | 6.61 | $0.991 | $6.55 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 5.54 | $0.260 | $1.44 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.82 | $0.170 | $0.99 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETUp | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 69.99 | $0.020 | $1.4 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 222.21 | $0.009 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 164.97 | $0.011 | $1.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | buy | 3.35 | $0.460 | $1.54 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp | buy | 2.87 | $0.340 | $0.97 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.28 | $0.026 | $1.86 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp | sell | 1.79 | $0.990 | $1.77 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp | buy | 1.76 | $0.550 | $0.97 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.38 | $0.123 | $1.4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 159.41 | $0.010 | $1.6 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 60 and 70 minutes long?Yes | buy | 70.79 | $0.014 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.