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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 3.05 | $0.360 | $1.1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.28 |
| $0.910 |
| $1.16 |
| Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 4 | $0.881 | $3.52 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.85 | $0.780 | $6.12 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 12.54 | $0.540 | $6.77 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 7.95 | $0.610 | $4.85 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.370 | $1.13 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 12.26 | $0.155 | $1.9 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.920 | $1.18 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.180 | $0.37 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.640 | $1.31 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 12.26 | $0.243 | $2.98 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.839 | $1.15 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.839 | $2.21 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.85 | $0.750 | $5.89 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 12.54 | $0.460 | $5.77 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 7.96 | $0.740 | $5.89 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Yes | buy | 22.76 | $0.140 | $3.19 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.825 | $4.07 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | sell | 2.96 | $0.590 | $1.75 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | sell | 12.97 | $0.440 | $5.71 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | sell | 8.99 | $0.570 | $5.12 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | sell | 18.09 | $0.540 | $9.77 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.85 | $0.620 | $1.77 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.92 | $0.530 | $1.02 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.65 | $0.540 | $2.51 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.92 | $0.530 | $1.02 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.89 | $0.550 | $1.04 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.76 | $0.510 | $2.43 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.96 | $0.500 | $1.48 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.98 | $0.510 | $1.01 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 6.34 | $0.500 | $3.17 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 6.63 | $0.490 | $3.25 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 7.1 | $0.490 | $3.48 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | sell | 23.4 | $0.970 | $22.7 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | sell | 3.81 | $0.020 | $0.08 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.95 | $0.860 | $1.68 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.34 | $0.930 | $1.25 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | sell | 6.72 | $0.400 | $2.69 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 2.77 | $0.470 | $1.3 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | sell | 6.47 | $0.150 | $0.97 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 6.47 | $0.170 | $1.1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | sell | 6.88 | $0.160 | $1.1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 6.89 | $0.180 | $1.24 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 2.8 | $0.840 | $2.35 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | sell | 24.45 | $0.170 | $4.16 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.86 | $0.560 | $1.04 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.520 | $1.02 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.540 | $1.06 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown | sell | 2.89 | $0.990 | $2.86 | Dec 14, 2025 |