Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETDown | buy | 110.82 | $0.925 | $102.52 | Mar 24, 2026 |
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Casanova400 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,516,890 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$75.14 observed lifetime PnL, 182 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 74.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x161ced49e0e0125e80436cd84e3e70d602c0bc8d
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 9.84 |
| $0.221 |
| $2.17 |
| Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 9.69 | $0.500 | $4.84 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.453 | $0.98 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 1.73 | $0.692 | $1.2 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp | sell | 9.76 | $0.990 | $9.66 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 6.32 | $0.780 | $4.93 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 3.35 | $0.580 | $1.94 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETDown | buy | 1.52 | $0.640 | $0.97 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp | sell | 129.69 | $0.790 | $102.46 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp | buy | 128.31 | $0.710 | $91.1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETDown | buy | 2.87 | $0.340 | $0.97 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETUp | sell | 103.55 | $0.910 | $94.23 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETUp | buy | 103.18 | $0.860 | $88.73 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETDown | sell | 95.16 | $0.940 | $89.45 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETDown | buy | 94.73 | $0.840 | $79.57 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp | sell | 5.85 | $0.990 | $5.79 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp | buy | 5.83 | $0.850 | $4.96 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETUp | sell | 2.52 | $0.960 | $2.42 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETUp | buy | 2.49 | $0.390 | $0.97 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETDown | sell | 86.76 | $0.880 | $76.35 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETDown | buy | 86.21 | $0.802 | $69.12 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 18.51 | $0.800 | $14.81 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETDown | sell | 11.19 | $0.650 | $7.27 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 11.02 | $0.440 | $4.85 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp | buy | 12.61 | $0.781 | $9.85 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown | sell | 4.28 | $0.130 | $0.56 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown | buy | 2.06 | $0.470 | $0.97 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown | buy | 2.15 | $0.450 | $0.97 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETDown | sell | 10.47 | $0.660 | $6.91 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETDown | buy | 10.31 | $0.470 | $4.84 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.5 | $0.510 | $4.84 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 6.89 | $0.710 | $4.89 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown | sell | 92.62 | $0.990 | $91.69 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown | buy | 85.65 | $0.980 | $83.93 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown | buy | 6.89 | $0.710 | $4.89 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 57.35 | $0.681 | $39.06 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETDown | buy | 39.3 | $0.750 | $29.47 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETDown | buy | 10.09 | $0.480 | $4.84 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | buy | 24.97 | $0.790 | $19.72 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 23?Yes | sell | 10.07 | $0.137 | $1.38 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?Yes | sell | 8.66 | $0.999 | $8.65 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETDown | buy | 7.84 | $0.620 | $4.86 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETDown | buy | 12.4 | $0.796 | $9.87 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp | buy | 3.04 | $0.640 | $1.95 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp | buy | 2.06 | $0.470 | $0.97 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 3.59 | $0.540 | $1.94 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown | buy | 2.76 | $0.710 | $1.96 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 2.96 | $0.330 | $0.98 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown | sell | 2.29 | $0.610 | $1.4 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.