Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 100 | $0.997 | $99.95 | +$0.25 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.020 | $1.2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.016 |
| $1.6 |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.033 | $1.98 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.017 | $1.7 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 110 | $0.983 | $108.13 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 160 | $0.996 | $159.36 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | buy | 210 | $0.999 | $209.79 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?No | buy | 220 | $0.985 | $216.7 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No | sell | 210 | $0.998 | $209.58 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No | buy | 210 | $0.999 | $209.79 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 225.05 | $0.014 | $3.2 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 220.17 | $0.941 | $207.24 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 26?No | buy | 240 | $0.975 | $234 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?Yes | buy | 170.31 | $0.992 | $168.98 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No | buy | 90 | $0.988 | $88.92 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on October 31?No | sell | 70 | $0.997 | $69.78 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 70 | $0.999 | $69.93 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 80 | $0.991 | $79.28 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 80 | $0.995 | $79.6 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.993 | $49.65 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.998 | $49.9 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 70 | $0.991 | $69.37 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 70 | $0.995 | $69.65 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?No | buy | 90 | $0.996 | $89.64 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 115–129 times August 29–September 5?No | buy | 140 | $0.995 | $139.3 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No | sell | 80 | $0.992 | $79.38 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.998 | $79.84 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $3600 on August 13?No | buy | 120 | $0.017 | $2.04 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4200 July 28–August 3?No | buy | 180 | $0.989 | $178.02 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Sam Ryder win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?No | buy | 270.22 | $0.997 | $269.46 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 80 | $0.998 | $79.84 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 154.41 | $0.034 | $5.25 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Adrienne Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 150 | $0.995 | $149.25 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No | buy | 280.05 | $0.999 | $279.72 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70-74?No | buy | 550 | $0.999 | $549.45 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 2.09K | $0.997 | $2.08K | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 2.09K | $0.997 | $2.08K | May 20, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 2.28K | $0.993 | $2.26K | May 16, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 2.28K | $0.994 | $2.27K | May 16, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.975 | $9.75 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.976 | $9.76 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 10 | $0.997 | $9.97 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Jamie Bynoe-Gittens be the top Champions League scorer?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.999 | $2.5K | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Tresean Gore vs. Marco TulioTulio | buy | 657.89 | $0.760 | $500 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Florida vs. HoustonFlorida | buy | 1.92K | $0.520 | $1K | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Bucks vs. PelicansPelicans | buy | 2.99K | $0.334 | $1K | Apr 3, 2025 |