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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 115.12 |
| $0.999 |
| $115 |
| Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.999 | $6.4 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 100.98 | $0.999 | $100.88 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?No | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.999 | $12.12 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.999 | $1.88 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.994 | $1.12 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No | buy | 101.1 | $0.999 | $101 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.994 | $1.1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.999 | $1.15 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No | buy | 101.66 | $0.999 | $101.56 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.998 | $12 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.999 | $1.32 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.996 | $2.14 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.999 | $111 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.999 | $1.9 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 101.61 | $0.994 | $101 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 22.09 | $0.996 | $22 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No | buy | 67.13 | $0.998 | $67 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 4.32 | $0.995 | $4.3 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No | buy | 15.2 | $0.987 | $15 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 15.18 | $0.988 | $15 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No | buy | 17.03 | $0.998 | $17 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.994 | $1.5 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 31.06 | $0.966 | $30 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No | buy | 14.04 | $0.997 | $14 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.08 in July?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Jul 16, 2025 |
MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 in July?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 50.15 | $0.997 | $50 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?No | buy | 15.09 | $0.994 | $15 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No | buy | 85.17 | $0.998 | $85 | May 16, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?No | buy | 15.12 | $0.992 | $15 | May 16, 2025 |