New Zealand general election
New Zealand, National
Summary
The election is on 7 November. Official results are scheduled for 27 November. The party winning the most seats and the person appointed prime minister are separate questions.
Sources for this entry
- IFES ElectionGuide (opens in a new tab), checked 24 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC (13 h ago)
- Electoral Commission, New Zealand (opens in a new tab), checked 20 Oct 2026, 17:08 UTC (4 days ago)
Market prices
Midpoint prices from prediction markets on this vote: what traders pay for a contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens, so 62% is a 62¢ price. They are market prices, not poll support, vote shares or a forecast by Vultax. Each market settles on its own wording, quoted with it, and a reading older than 45 minutes is marked stale.
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Settles on: party with the most seats in the House of Representatives
Observed 25 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC, 7 min ago
New Zealand legislative election winner?: market prices by outcome Outcome Market price National Party 55% Labour Party 43% ACT New Zealand <1% Green Party <1% New Zealand First Party <1% Te Pāti Māori <1% Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Settles on: prime minister appointed after the election
Observed 25 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC, 7 min ago
Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?: market prices by outcome Outcome Market price Christopher Luxon 57% Chris Hipkins 42% Carmel Sepuloni <1% David Seymour <1% Chlöe Swarbrick <1% Nicola Willis <1% Winston Peters <1%
Polls
Vultax shows no polling data for this election.
Sources and update times
- Calendar checked
- 24 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC, 13 h ago
- Data generated
- 25 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC, 7 min ago
- Next scheduled review
- 26 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC
Collection
- https://www.electionguide.org/elections/type/upcoming/: ok, read 24 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC
- https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/api/3/action/package_show?id=pesquisas-eleitorais-2026: ok, read 24 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC
- https://cdn.tse.jus.br/estatistica/sead/odsele/pesquisa_eleitoral/pesquisa_eleitoral_2026.zip: ok, read 24 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC
- https://electionindex.org/v1/elections: ok, read 24 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC
- Polymarket, existing fixed-study capture: ok, read 25 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC
- New Zealand automated date page: access-hold, read time not recorded
Calendar sources
- IFES ElectionGuide (opens in a new tab), checked 24 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC (13 h ago)
- Global Election Index, CC BY 4.0 (opens in a new tab), checked 24 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC (13 h ago)
- TSE, Pesquisas Eleitorais 2026, Creative Commons Attribution (opens in a new tab), checked 24 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC (13 h ago)
Vultax aggregates this calendar independently and on a nonpartisan basis from the sources listed, and links each date to the source it comes from. It does not list every election held worldwide. Dates are calendar days where the vote is held; no polling hours are shown. Market prices, where a page shows them, are what traders pay on the venue as Vultax last read it. They are not polls, vote counts or a forecast by Vultax.
